Hello, everyone. Welcome to the week 14 episode of Stacking the Box myself. Ian
mcmillan joined once again, Sterling Holmes at Homestretch KC. I got a lot to talk about this
week including a very tight MVP race, a very tight playoff race. Uh And whether or not a
couple of teams might be fraudulent Sterling. I might be looking at your Chiefs maybe. Uh But
before we get into the show here today, oh, and also Sterling still alive and Survivor. So,
um I won't be able to buy Christmas gifts this year for any of my family because, uh, all my
Christmas gift money is gonna go to Sterling because he's gonna end up winning this Survivor
thing. Uh Unbelievable. Uh Before we get into the show though, uh Stacking the box is
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Fantasy Sterling. What's going on? Oh, man. What isn't going on? Yeah. No things are
good, man. I'm, I'm excited to be here with you to talk some football. This was a wild week.
Um, backup city, I think Chad Hinney, you know , Chase Daniel Blaine Gabbert Tyrod Taylor. They
should all be thrilled right now. It's the, it's the season of backup quarterbacks. It's
too bad. Those four guys specifically aren't in it, but this is their dream right now. But
yet the football is still being played at a high level even with some of his backup dudes
in there. Yeah, last night, uh, the, by the end of the game we were returned to Jake
Browning and CJ Beard. What a treat. Uh, as the Bengals keep their playoff hopes alive and
maybe the Jaguar season might be over depending on this Trevor Lawrence injury. We'll
get into that a little bit. Uh, but Sterling as always, we gonna start with the biggest
winners and losers from week 13, start us off. Who is your biggest winner? I got two here. I
wanna start with Jake Browning because after last night's performance, I thought that that
was just a phenomenal game from him. Great game plan from the head coach and the Bengals
in general right early on in the game, check it down, let him get into a rhythm and then it
opened up. Obviously, he started using Jamar Chase downfield. He started using T Higgins
downfield, Tyler Boyd, uh, Trenton Irwin. I, I was very impressed with the game plan and he
delivered, he was incredible, uh, quarterback controversy going on in Cincinnati. Now, um,
just gonna go ahead and throw that out there. I'm kidding. But still, that was a great
performance from Jake Browning. And then for me, the team is the Packers. Packers have been
on a heater. Jordan love looks like he figured something out. The Chiefs defense has been
incredible all season long. He's been about the only dude to crack the case against this
Chiefs defense. He did. He was a great game plan, moved the ball efficiently, took care of
the football, most importantly. Um I think the Packers right now you three feeling pretty good,
especially in regards to making the playoffs now because their schedule lightens up
tremendously after that Chiefs game. Yes, I believe the Packers actually have the easiest
remaining schedule based on opponent win percentage. Uh, the rest of the way here. Uh,
if not the easiest, the, the second easiest. Uh, yeah, we're gonna talk with the Packers a
little bit later in the show, so I'll save my thoughts with them for now. But, uh, Jake Brown
and do you think it's sustainable, uh, or do you think last night was just, uh, kind of a
one time thing? Well, I don't think he's gonna do, what, 360 all that stuff, every single game,
but there was nothing that I saw that that showed me that. Ok, this was just a one off.
Like you look at how he got it done. It was efficient. It wasn't, uh, I mean, I, what, 70
yards were on a Jamar chase, uh, catch and run , but outside of that, I mean, he was efficient,
got the, got the ball out on time into the right spot and the receivers made plays. II, I
was very enthused by, uh, Jake Browning and it's not like the Jaguars defense is a bad
defense either. Uh, probably an above average borderline good defense hitting into last
night's game. So it's not like he did that against, uh, one of the worst defense in the
NFL either. So the Bengals all of a sudden back to six and six, uh, in that group of three
teams at six and six. and then there's a huge group in front of them at seven and five. So
AFC playoff race extremely tight, uh, heading down the stretch and the Bengals kind of kept
their hopes alive by winning that game last night. Uh, my biggest winner, uh, are the 49er
Lions and Cowboys. Uh, that group of the kind of top tier teams, not name the Eagles in the
NFC because with the Eagles, all of a sudden losing to the 49er and losing, um, in a big way,
all of a sudden, the number one seed in the NFC kind of opens up. Uh, the NFC East kind of
opens up. I mean, if the Cowboys beat the Eagles this week, they're both gonna be sitting
at 10 and three, heading into the final four games of the season. So all of a sudden where
the Eagles, uh, kind of look like the Kings in the, of the NFC. And they'd have the number one
seed locked up. Uh They don't even, they don't have the number one seed. They don't even
really have the division lead, uh, locked up and the rest of their schedule not exactly easy
now to be fair. The Cowboys schedule is tough down the stretch as well. Um, but the rest of
the NFC or at least the contenders in the NFC, uh, gonna be pretty happy with this, uh, past
week's results. Uh, biggest loser for me. Uh, again, I got two here, uh, the
Jags because they had a chance to really cement their season right. Moving to nine and
three. You're right there. One or two in the AFC picture, you're looking good. You lose to a
backup quarterback and now you don't even have the AFC South locked up because the feisty
Texans are right there knocking at the door and not only that you might have lost Trevor
Lawrence for an extended period of time. Now, initial, initial reports, uh, sound slightly
promising, right? Sounds like no broken bone, which is obviously, uh, the worry when you see
a guy step up, fall immediately down and then throw his helmet down in disgust. Um, but still
not a good situation for the Jacksonville Jaguars. And what was a fairly wide open AFC
and then the refs man, the refs continuously, they've, and I feel like we say every single
week, I feel like we say it every single year but, and this wasn't even just in the Chiefs
favor or, or against the Chiefs in this one. If you watch the end of that game, Packers
Chiefs, there were four blown calls on that final drive, 42 win in favor of Kansas City to
win against. Yeah, a a at some point you're just sitting here going, what are we doing here
guys? Are we just randomly calling stuff? I also have an issue with holds in the NFL. I'm
convinced if you are a defensive lineman and you just throw your one arm up in the air like
this, you will automatically get a hold call if you try and mind your business, even if you
get held to oblivion. Well, you didn't, your hand your hand up there, we're not going to
call it like I just have a issue with players almost influencing the refs, the refs have no
idea what's going on. Uh, this has become too much of a talking point in a season
where it should be about football should be about betting, but instead we're talking about
the refs. Yeah, I agree. Sterling, that's a great point actually, which is something I have
noticed this year specifically is the increase in refs reacting to players reacting. Uh, yeah,
if a defensive lineman puts his hands up as if he's being held almost every time we get a flag,
if an offensive player puts his hands up as if the defensive player, you know, had pass
interference on him, they throw the flag. Uh, sometimes even when, uh, uh, like a defensive
lineman before the snap will stand up and point in the offensive lineman as if he
twitched and sometimes that gets a flag for a false start as well. It is a lot of players
reacting to try to get the refs to throw flags and it's working more often than not, which is
extremely concerning. It's almost as if the refs are so scared to not call a penalty that
they now they're kind of over calling penalties. Um, last and, and I mean, this game
was on Thursday night and now we've kind of forgot about it, but, uh, the Seahawks Cowboys
game was a flag every play, 19 total total penalties, accepted 130 yards for penalties for
the Seahawks, 100 and 27 total penalty yards for the Cowboys. We can't have that. We can't
have 19 flags thrown in a game and actually more flags were thrown. That's 19 penalties
accepted in a game. That's insane. That ruins the product of football. Uh, my biggest loser
is anyone who sat through that Falcons Jets game at Metlife Stadium. Uh, myself included,
what a miserable experience that was. Thank God that, uh, the Falcons ended up winning the
game. So there was a little bit of, uh, of a redeeming factor, but, uh, the stadium was like
maybe 40 40% full. Uh, it rained from start to finish. Uh I did buy a very fancy poncho
that I wore to the stadium, but also it was cold so I had my winter jacket underneath it. I
was all bundled up. I didn't want to move. Um, also, I guess, is, is this a New Jersey law?
They stopped selling beer at half time, like I thought it was fourth quarter. They stopped
selling beer but half time I tried to get a beer at half time. I couldn't brutal.
Especially for that game. You think they would start busting out the, the liquor as well, like,
all right, not only are you now getting beer into the fourth quarter, you're getting a, a
pounder of beer as well as a shot of Jack Daniels like that. That seems like that would
have been the move there. Yeah. Uh, my plan was to drink my way through the game and, uh,
uh, worked up till halftime. Yeah, halftime. Try to get a drink. No, uh, no, no alcohol
after halftime. Um, and I got a seat right in front of one of the two end zones. Uh, and of
course, all the action was at the other end of the field, the entire game and the one
touchdown was scored in the other end zone as well. The Falcons third string tight end
because again, why get Kyle Pitts involved when you can use your third string tight end
now. But a win is a win. A win is a win. Uh We are now sole possession of first place in the
NFC South. But that was uh and also on the, on the way home back to Manhattan, not exactly
easy to get to my Metlife Stadium, got to take a couple of trains. Uh One of the trains broke
down. So I just sat on a train. It should have been about a 40 minute trip for me to get back
home between 40 minutes and an hour. It took me about 2, 2.5 hours to get back home. Are you
sure it was the train or not? The Jets offense ? Yeah, it was, yeah, probably mix of both. Um
So that's my biggest loser of the week. Anyone including myself who sat through uh that game
uh in the rain on Sunday. Uh Top story MVP race is heating up it seems like we talk about
the MVPP race on, on an almost weekly basis on the show, but for good reason because we are
now week 14 in the NFL and there are like 67 guys who can still win MVP. Usually by this
point of the season we have a pretty good idea who's gonna win it. If not, it's down to like
two or three guys. There's like seven or eight guys who can still win it. Uh Dak Prescott and
Brock Purdy are the co favorites right now at 3 to 1 to win. NFL MVP. Sterling your thoughts
on this. Can Dak Prescott win MVP? I think you can. Um, this
is tough, man. I mean, I actually tried saying Dak Prescott needs more credit for winning MVP
this season. Uh which is weird for me to say because I've always been a, a, he's not a huge
needle mover to me personally, but he's been this, he's been great this year. Like there's
no denying how good he has been this season. The issue is they haven't really beaten any
good teams and I wonder how much ni I, I've said it every single week and I'll say it again.
They'll be up three scorers in late in the fourth quarter and they're running play action
for a bomb to CD lamb. Like when they beat teams, they're not running the clock out,
they're trying to score more and almost pad those stats. I wonder how much of that will get,
will get held against them. Like Brock Purdy on the, on the other side of things, you don't
see the Niners do that when they get up. What happens? They just run the football, they run
the clock out. They're, they're very efficient and that's what it comes down to is II,
I know Hunter is going to be pissed at me when I say it. But how much does Brock Purdy really
move the needle? I think if you take Dak Prescott out of the Cowboys system, they take a
massive step back. You put Brock Purdy out of the Niners system. How many quarterbacks could
do a similar thing that he does? I think your answer is a decent amount.
Yeah, it's an argument we've had several times in the show. We don't need to revisit that. Um,
but I will say, uh, Brock Party does lead in some stats, but Doc Prescott's right there. Um,
and the Cowboys do have a little bit more of a difficult schedule down the stretch, but really
the teams of the Cowboys played down the stretch are kind of all teams who have good
offenses but bad defenses like the Eagles this week whose defense is atrocious. We'll talk
with them a little bit later. Bills Dolphins, Lions, like, yeah, they have tough games down
the stretch, but none of them are really good defenses. They're all teams that are more
offensive base. So, uh, Dak Prescott's gonna, gonna end the year with, uh, a lot of good
numbers. Do you think the fact that he plays on the Cowboys, obviously, America's team, uh,
is gonna play any level of impact at all on the voters and who they vote for. Um, it's a
good question. Uh, first off Justin, I will answer your question in just a moment there. Um,
that's a good question, man. I, again, I think Brock Purdy is a good quarterback. I think he's
better. Brock Purty is better than the people who think he does nothing think he is, but I
don't quite think he's as great as the broad party for MVP. Folks like Hunter think he
thinks he is like, I think he's a good quarterback. I think he's a really good
quarterback. But if it were my choice, is he more important to that team than Christian
mccaffrey? Right? I mean, seriously, is he more important than Christian mccaffrey?
Important? No, no, I don't think so.
But if it's a quarterback award, he has the best quarterback numbers agreed. But again, I
don't my, my M the NFL and QBR leads the NFL and quarterback rating leads the, uh NFL by a
wide margin in yards per throw 9.6. That next close is 8.6 NFL and completion
percentage. My main argument is, I don't think it should be a quarterback award, especially
this season for a guy like me. It was a very analytical in a season where I, I think
quarterback play has been down for the most part overall again. I, I think Brock Purdy
should be way ahead of Lamar Jackson. Way ahead of Patrick Mahomes, way ahead of Jalen
Hurtz. Way ahead of Tua Takao. Right. Because the same argument for Tua is the same one I use
against Brock Purdy. Right. I think Tyree kill moves and he way more than Tua Belo. Right. I,
I think, I think we can all agree there. So for me, what it comes down to is in a season
where I know it's traditionally a quarterback award with no quarterback necessarily moving
the needle in my eyes. I'm going a little out of the box and I'm going with Tyreek Hill. I
think Tyreek Hill has, uh, been historical this season. That's the way I'm going. Yeah, I
want to talk with Tyree Cale. Why don't you address Justin's question there first? Uh,
what's your confidence level in browning and the Bengals moving forward? Six and six?
Obviously still in the thick of the playoff hunt? Can, can he do enough to lead the Bengals
at least to the playoffs? I'll have to look at the rest of their schedule. They stuff to play
the Chiefs, they still have a couple of tough games left. Obviously, we know how difficult
the AFC North is in general, but I was impressed last or last night with, with, uh,
Justin Browning, um, or Jake Browning. Sorry, I can't even get his name right. Uh, with, with
Jay Browning, I mean, again, we talked about it when you have great weapons and the
offensive line holds up like it did, it wasn't like he had to score 17 points to win that game
because the defense was electric. He had to put up 34 to get it done, but he got it done.
He was calm, he was cool. He was collected. Um I was impressed with, with, with, with Browning
in that game and I, I do think there's a outside chance they can still keep it together
again. I wouldn't put money on it, but I think there's an outside chance they can still keep
it together. Uh Bengals closed their season off against Colts. They're a one point underdog
at home to the Colts this week and then they have the Viking Steelers Chiefs Brown. So I
would say all winnable games Chiefs likely gonna be a loss. Um The other ones are all
gonna be like the point spread for all of them is gonna be three points or less. Uh, like I
said, one point underdog to the Colts against the Vikings, probably two point underdog. Maybe
Steeler is gonna be close depending on Kenny Pickett status, gonna be significant underdogs
to the Chiefs, especially on the road. Uh And then last game of the season against the Browns,
gonna be close as well. So Um, yeah, Bengals are gonna be an interesting team down the
stretch. Yeah. Um, Tyreek Hill, uh, you did mention him, you've talked about him all season.
You think he deserves to be MVP. This is the first time this week that we actually saw the
MVP Odds. Uh, if you look at betting odds, um, as a predictor of who's gonna win the award. Um,
move in Tyreek. Tyreek Hill's favor now he's still 15 to 1. Um So there are a handful of
quarterbacks. If you're watching this on youtube, you see the list down there at the
bottom of the screen scrolling across it. Um But after the big names, after the Dak Prescott
Brock birdie Jalen Hurtz, Patrick Holmes Lamar Jackson, Tua Tyreek Hill coming in at 15 to 1
where all season he was hanging around 30 to 150 to 1. So we did see some significant odds
move in his favor 15 to 1, still a bit of a long shot. Um But at least now the betting
market thinks he's in the conversation. Um, so maybe now is the time to take
a look at betting on Tyreek Hill because if he breaks 2000 receiving yards, which I believe
he's well on pace to do that breaking that mark is gonna play a big role. Um,
him finishing with 2001 yards is significantly different from him, finishing with
1999 even though it's a two yard difference, that milestone of 2000 yards is gonna play a
big role, especially if these quarterbacks just kind of play middling down the stretch.
Now, one of these quarterbacks, if they like brought Purdy or Dak, just lights it up the
last four or five weeks of the season, they're probably gonna win it. But if they like, have a
good game, then a bad game, then the average game it opens it up for Tyreek Hill and they
might, at the end of the season, the voters might just have no choice but to give it to the
guy who set the single season record for receiving yards in Tyree Hill. But see, and
even that, I don't like the, again, I'm not disagreeing with you. I think you're using the
argument of the voters where, where you go, we have no choice but to give it to a non
quarterback, it is a choice you're giving it to who moved the needle the most. It's Tyreek
Hill. He's doing some historic. It's never been done before. Like how is that not
deserving of the most valuable player? It's been wild. Like the fact that he's behind Tua
makes zero sense to me. Zero sense to me. I mean, seriously, you take him off that team and
you're putting Braxton Barrios as the wide receiver two and move Jalen wild to wide
receiver one. You're telling me Tua's numbers are gonna be similar but wouldn't even be close
like that is Tyreek Hill. He's the difference maker on that team. Um, obviously, I'm beating
a dead horse Hill, uh, dead horse here, but that's, that's my vote for sure. Is Tyreek Hill?
Yeah, he is currently on pace to finish with 2097 yards or if he round up, uh, 2098
yards on the season. Um, he is also, this is worth noting leading the NFL and receiving
touchdowns by two as well. So it's not just, uh, yards, it is touchdowns as well. Now, he is
nine yards behind or sorry, nine receptions behind Keenan Allen for the most receptions in
the NFL, but leading by a wide margin in yards leading by two in touchdowns. Um, it's
hard to argue against Tyreek Hill winning it. Who would you vote for? I've, I've told you who
I'm voting for. I think, I think I would vote Tyree Keeler right now.
Um, I, I'm personally rooting for Brock Purdy because I bet Brock Purdy a significant sum of
money at 14 to 1. So I'll retire and be rich. Uh, if Brock Purdy wins MVP. Um, but if, if I
had a vote right now, I, I think I'd vote Tyreek Hill. That's, that's how you get out of
the, uh, your loss to me and Survivor. I need Rob to win MVP. So I can pay up on, on the
Survivor pool. Yes, it'll, the money will just go in one hand with the other. Uh Mike says I
can't believe teams still don't put a safety on top of hill. Yeah, someone in the media
asked, uh Tyree Hill about that this week. Uh and he was like, uh, he said something like
thank you to the teams for disrespecting me or something like that because it's just opening
things up for him. But I mean, even if they put his safety on top, I, I don't think it
matters. It really doesn't matter. This is the best he has looked like from a Chiefs fan who
saw him here for so long. This is the best. He's looked, his route running seems crisper.
He's tracking the ball even better. Right. Just some of those over the shoulder catches.
He looks way smoother on the speed and acceleration is there. It just, it's wild to
think a guy as athletic as he is in the age that he is where you normally see the natural
decline of an NFL wide receiver. He is somehow still getting better. It's, it's a, uh, he's
always had great football IQ too. Just his football IQ is through the roof. It's very
impressive. This is the first time in a long time. We're watching Tyreek Hill play football.
It looks like I'm watching like a high school football tape on youtube where it's like one
guy who's like gonna get like 50 division one scholarship offers and he's playing in like a
random, you know, uh, high school team and like I or something, he's clearly the best
player on the field. That's what Tyreek Hill looks like. And he's doing it on an NFL field
because like, he'll catch a ball and there'll be like, defenders on either side and he's so
fast, like, he's able to just burst right through which, like, you usually see when
you're watching, like high school football, it's insane. Uh So, yeah, I'd give Tyree Kill
my vote. We'll see, uh, if his odds continue to move in his direction here in the final
stretch of the season for what it's worth. Christian mccaffrey 30 to 1. So he's
technically still in the mix uh to an MVP, but , uh I don't think he's quite done enough, uh,
this season. Um Yeah, uh in terms of most valuable player, like if you use it by
definition, I think Chris mccaffrey has a great argument but his actual stats like yards
per carry kind of deal. Uh Not, not quite up to an MVP level, um, but the, he just does it
all, which is the argument you can make for him. Um Do you think a record, do you think the,
the team's final record, uh, plays a role in winning MVP? Like, do you think, depending on
what team finishes with the one seed in the respective conference? Does that play a role at
all in MVP? I think it does. I don't know how much it should. Like I go back and forth on it.
Right? Because obviously that means your team's great. But why are you penalizing guys?
And I know, I know I've done it before, you know, like people penalize Maholmes for having
Kelsey and, and Tyree kill when he was here. Right? And I kind of am doing it myself and I'm
penalizing to an extent, Brock Purdy for having great weapons. It's tough for me to say
most valuable player when, if you took, um for example, say CJ Stroud off of the Texans, you
put Davis Mills there. We, we saw what that team looks like, like it's a very difficult
conversation to have. But again, how much do you penalize a guy for winning? He's doing what
he's supposed to do. What do you want him to do? Throw two dudes not name brand and Iu Debo
Samuel and Christian mccay, like it's a very fine line, but I do think record plays a part
in this. But how much, um I think that does remain to be seen. Uh We brought up the
Packers earlier. Um And I think the Packers, if there was an award given out at this point
of the season or even at the end of the season for most improved team, and I'm not talking
about most improved from last year to this year. I'm talking about most improved from
September to now it's the Green Bay Packers by far, um, they went from looking like a below
average team at the start of the year. I mean, the Falcons beat them. That's not a good sign.
Uh, I think that one point they lost like four or five games in a row. So now all of a sudden
the Packers look like a legitimately good football team. Not a great football team.
They're not a super bowl contender, but they look like a good football team that just beat
the defending champs to be fair. Jordan love. Most improved player, most improved player on
the most improved team. He looks like a completely different quarterback out there on
the field. Uh, early in the season, he looked raw. Uh, he made a lot of dumb mistakes. Um, he
looked like he wasn't calm in the pocket now. He's doing all the right things. He's making
the right decisions. He's using his feet, not only just to run but using his feet to buy time
for his receivers to get open. He looks calm in the pocket. He's making good throws. He's
taken some shots when he has the chance to. What are your thoughts on the Packers right now?
Do you think they're a legitimate playoff team ? They're now favored to make the playoffs? I
think they're gonna be in the playoffs no matter what. Uh, and what are your thoughts on
Jordan Love? Yeah, I mean, let's start with Jordan Love. He started off this season. With
what 50% completion percentage? We, we saw some of the, the box score numbers, right? We
saw some of the yards and the touchdowns were like, wow, that's impressive. But it was not
sustainable when you were not completing, uh, at least 60% 65% of your passes. Well, then you
see, after that stretch where the, it caught up to him, right. It was unsustainable as you
mentioned. And then all of a sudden the completion percentage went up, he started
taking care of the football more. He stopped trying to play hero ball if you will. I, I know
it's tough for a lot of these young guys. I know he's not necessarily that young because
he's sat behind Rogers and stuff for a few years now. But it's very difficult, I think for
guys who were always superstars growing up high school college. So used to making those
throws because it works when you do that in high school. And in college, the NFL is a
different animal. It's a different beast. You have to almost tone back just a little bit.
Guys are quicker, faster, better reads, defenses are now trying to confuse you. So I
think Jordan Love had to go through some growing pains there even though it is his
fourth season in the NFL, but it's his first year really starting and we're seeing the
results. I think he's a really, really good quarterback. I think there's a lot of talent
there. Um I think he is going to be the guy for Green Bay for a, for a long time. Now, I
don't think he's gonna be Brett Fre for Aaron Rodgers, but I think he's gonna be a very, very
good quarterback for a very long time. That is a huge step in the right direction for a
organization for a team. Now, as far as the team in general, the defense has had a ton of
injuries, but Rashawn Gary's been outstanding. Obviously, you know, Jr Alexander's been
injured. Um, secondary has been banged up all season long, but some of they have gotten
better. I know everyone's very fired as the, as the corner because he's so bland. But for
some reason, the injuries have actually made his system work better, which is a little
interesting to say, uh, they're starting to peak at the right time, you know, once they get
Aaron Jones back, once AJ Dillon gets fully healthy, the offensive lines been banged up,
moving in and out, you know, in game, they're having different tackles, different guards take
11 series on one series off once they get more continuity. I mean, this is a, in my opinion, a
really good NFC team. Yeah, I am glad, uh, just to go back to Jordan Levy brought a
completion percentage because that was, but my big knock on him early in the year because
early in the year, he was getting the yards. He was getting the touchdowns, uh, but I was
telling people like we got to start betting against this team because early in the year is
completion percentage. 55.6 56% 50% 53.3. And now you look at his recent
starts 69.4 68.8 67.5 76.9 against the Rams. The
numbers in terms of yards and touchdowns are still there, but now we're seeing the
difference in complete, uh, completion percentage, which is huge because that's what's
gonna convert third downs into first downs. That's what's gonna keep your offense on the
field. That's what's gonna be able to convert, you know, red zone, uh, trips to touchdowns. So,
um, Packers have been very impressive. It is not fair that they have gone from Brett Favre
to Aaron Rodgers to another good quarterback, like at least give us a couple of years where
they have a bad quarterback. No, must be nice. Packers fans. Um Speaking of the Packers, uh,
let's talk with the team. They just beat, uh, are the Chiefs frauds? No, I hold on, I will
say last week, if you remember, I said, I like the Chiefs or the Packers to cover and I also
said, I wouldn't be surprised if they beat the Chiefs. And what'd you say? I said that's
laughable. I said, that's not the, you said not a chance. And the reason was, was I thought
it was a bad matchup for the Packers again. I didn't say the Packers were a bad team. I said
it was a bad matchup. Same reason why I said the Eagles were gonna get crushed by the Niners
because it's a bad matchup. Not that they're a bad team. It's a bad matchup. I was wrong.
No quarterback has done this against the Chiefs defense all season long now again, II I
will say injuries are no excuse because the injuries happen in the NFL. Like you have to
get through it next minute up. Uh The Chiefs were now on their third play caller on defense
because obviously no Nick Bolton, which they knew. So Drew Tranel was there. Well, he got
injured very early because of Quad Zilla AJ Dillon getting it to the back of his dome. He
was concussed then Jack Concord who doesn't play at all had to come in and now he is the
play caller and the Green Bay Packers took advantage of it. There were, there were times
on that huge run. Was it by Tucker? It's like 30 yards where he's trying to communicate to
Justin Reed and they're not on the same page because Conor doesn't know what's going on. I
think he actually played a pretty good game. All things being considered, but it wasn't
enough when you are all of a sudden forced into that role. You don't have a whole week to
get prepared. You may have a whole quarter to get prepared. You're now thrust into it mid
game and, uh, I think it was just too much to overcome again. The Packers played great. Um,
yeah, t tip your catman. The Chiefs aren't frauds. The offense isn't great, but the
defense is still legitimately good. They're gonna get some reinforcements back. Um, they're
wide receivers. Those are the frauds. Well, I mean, that's, that's part of the issue though.
If you don't have wide receivers, it's, it, it's, it's hard, it's gonna be hard to beat
elite teams now and potentially on the road in the playoffs. Are you concerned?
Oh, yeah. II, I don't disagree with that. That doesn't mean they're frauds like, no, you're
right. I, yeah, I, I just wanted to use the word fraud just to get you going a little bit.
I don't think they, they are frauds but they're in trouble. Yeah, I think they're still
a really good team that has a fatal flaw, which pretty much every single team in the NFL
right now has a fatal flaw. The only team that really doesn't is the 49er.
I would say the Ravens possibly too, although the Ravens don't really have good wide, wide
receivers either. Um, ok, so nervous, but you're not,
you're not older than the Chiefs yet. No, no, I, I looked at the Tyler Palco and Tyler
Thigpen and Damon Heward and, uh, the emergence of Matt Castle and the two games of
Kyle Orton era. Ok. I'm, we're chilling and you're still going to win the AFC West. It's ok.
All right. All right. I like it. That is true. They have, who is the closest in the, in the
AFC West right now. The Broncos. Yeah, six and six, chiefs only have two more wins than the
Atlanta Falcons. Fact. Yeah, schedules have been very similar to,
um, are the Eagles frauds. No, yes, they are. The
Eagles are frauds. The Eagles are frauds. I've been on the Eagles have been fraud's train for
a while now and this past week showed it the Eagles defense is atrocious and they keep
getting worse on a weekly basis. Let me let, let me look at some numbers here, uh, for the
Eagles defense there. The Eagles because their offense is still good. The Eagles 24th in
opponent yards per play 27th in opponent epa per play. 20th in opponent success rate in the
worst stat, which is gonna kill the Eagles. This is why they're not going to win the Super
bowl dead last in third down defense. They're worse than any other team on defense on third
down, worse than the Cardinals, worse than the Giants. You name a team dead last is dead last,
dead last. And opponent, a third down conversion rate. Teams are converting 47.27% of
3rd 3rd downs against them. That's not a winning formula. Can I oppose something to you?
I Yes, again because I'm with you, the defense has been atrocious and you're looking at it
going well, why look at all the talent, I mean , there is so much talent on that defense. It's
crazy, right? You know, Darius Slay is obviously older, James Bradbury is obviously
older. I get that stuff. Maybe they did fall off. But part of me, they have had a lot of
injuries. They slot cornerback situation is not ideal. VTE Maddox got injured. They,
they're on like their third or fourth now, slot corner undrafted dudes, I get it, but
there's still a ton of talent on that defense overall. How much of it is a, they lost their
defensive coordinator. Right. He's gone. Was it losing him? And how much of it is there?
They still have a lot of talent and they're trying to adjust and maybe as the season ends
up the last couple of weeks, maybe even into the playoffs, there's still a chance with that
talent with them finally starting to click with a new defensive coordinator and scheme
they get right. I don't think they will because they're trending in the wrong direction
for the majority of the season. They are an average defense over the past few weeks,
they've now turned into a bad defense. Um, and we're 13 weeks into the season, correct.
We've seen enough and now maybe if they, maybe if they started off this season as a bad
defense and they've turned into an average defense, they're trending in the right
direction. Sure. But they're trending in the wrong direction. It's not good. Yeah. No, I,
I'm not disagreeing. I just think it's an interesting conversation to have because I do
think there's still a lot of talent. If you looked at that team, you're sitting here going.
Wow, that's a lot of dudes. But then II, I do, you do have to remember again, losing your DC
who's been there a while, who had one of the better defenses in the NFL last year? That is a
huge loss. Yeah, I think, I think that's, that's got to be the biggest thing. It's, it's,
it's got to be their defensive coordinator not being there. Uh, just asked Sterling, do you
think KT I'm sure I'm guessing that's ca Tony will finally get to play wide receiver instead
of being a gadget guy. I would hope so because I'm, I rate every single week that he is
somehow used as a little Debo Samuel and they're like, yeah, we're trying to keep him
healthy. Then why the bleep are you running in the, with him? Like, why do you put him in
situations to take more unnecessary hits, more physical hits that is put him at wide receiver
when he's that wide receiver, the only only guy that hurts him is him because his knees are
like Jello and he's out there trying to make some dudes and when was the last time you've
seen him at wide receiver just get popped. Guys don't get a good clean shot on him. I
would love to see more to at wide receiver. I hate the thought process of. Yeah. Well, MVS is
a veteran. He knows where to be. Well, clearly he doesn't, he has zero idea where to be. He
doesn't come back to the ball. He has no idea where the balls he the opposite of Tiger kill.
He somehow goes into the safety help. When there's a wide open field to the left of him.
It's asinine Tony can do the same thing. Um Yes, just and I would love to see more cada
Tony will we see more of him? Probably not knowing how the Chiefs operate. Uh And then I
got one last question for you. I'm curious your take on this and then we're gonna move on
to uh previewing week 14 here. Uh But if you look at the betting odds for to win the Super
Bowl, there is clearly a first tier of teams and then a second tier of teams. First tier,
you have the 49ers, the Eagles, the Chiefs, the Ravens, the Dolphins and the Cowboys. Then
there is a large gap and then there is a second tier of teams. Second tier would include,
I guess lions, jaguars, Bills, and then there's kind of a third tier of Texans Browns,
Packers, Falcons, Falcons are listed because they're probably win the NFC South. That's the
only reason why they're listed. Um, if you were, if you were to pick a team from that 2nd
and 3rd tier to win the Super Bowl, which team would you go with? Oh, it's between for me, the
Lions and the Bills. No. Faith in your Texans. Not this year. I, again, you know, I,
I'm very high in the Texans. I was very high but I, I'm trying to be a realist here. Right.
I'm trying to be a realist. Um, I think the AFC is a lot harder overall.
Um, I think it's a lot when you're playing a lot of teams, you've had a lot of playoff
experience, if not success. A lot of playoffs experience, you know, with, with the Chiefs,
even with the Ravens, they get there every single year. Um, you know, if the Bills make it,
I still think the Bills are a dangerous team. I, I just don't know if they make it, if the
Bills make it. That to me is the best odds of anyone. I just don't know if they're gonna make
it there when you have Josh Allen. You're never out of a game now. He can take you out of
a game, but he can also put you back into a game when he is on. He is the only guy that can
go toe to toe with Patrick Maholmes. The issue is he has been playing so much hero ball this
season, it has hurt them. Uh Their defense is ancient. I mean, I've talked about it, Mica
Hyde Jordan po you both 32 years old for Davis White looks 32. He's been banged up. Obviously,
Matt Milano has been injured. A, a large chunk of the season. Um It's tough man. Von Miller
has not been good when he's even been out there on the field. It's been a hard season for
the Bills. But again, when you look at that team overall, the talent, um, they're still a
dangerous team. I do like the Lions overall. I said that from the get go, I think the NFC is
not quite as deep with the Niners, kind of separating themselves, makes it a little more
difficult. But I like the Lions man. I, I, when you are that good in the trenches,
especially in the offensive line, you always have a shot, you will always have a shot when
your offensive line is the best in the NFL. Uh Yeah, I think I would go the Bills because I, I
think if the Bill now the issue with the Bills is they might not get in the playoffs, but if
they can sneak in the postseason, I think they're very, very dangerous team. And it's
because the same reason why I've, you know, I've talked about the Bills, uh, recently
is I still think they're an elite team, but they are a team that everything that could have
gone wrong for them in several different games has gone wrong for them. I think they're much,
much, much better than the record. Obviously a lot of defensive issues. But if the Bills can
sneak in, um, I wouldn't be surprised to see if they kind of go on a run. Um, Falcons, let
me make a very quick case for my Falcons. Now, they're not going to win the Super Bowl. I'm
not going to make that argument. You and I already have a bet that I know in a playoff
game. And right now it's gonna be, they're gonna host the Cowboys most likely or if they
don't win the division, they a good chance. They, they get a wild card spot and then they
would be the worst wild card team. So then they play either the Eagles or the 49ers
probably on the road. I mean, who knows? The Cowboys choke in the playoffs? Maybe we do want
to host the Cowboys in the first round. Who knows? I will make a case for Atlanta to win a
playoff game here though. Their defense is legitimately good. They were like an above
average defense. Now, they're a good defense and they're good in two very specific key areas,
which is why they're able to win some of these games and, you know, beat the Jets by score 13
to 8 1st in the NFL and third down defense, second or sorry. First, the NFL and red zone
defense, 2nd and 3rd down defense, they are keeping teams from getting in the end zone. I
think it's like 26 straight drives that they haven't allowed a touchdown on, on defense and
they're keeping teams from converting third downs and the first downs that's massive. If
they can do that against good teams, they'll at least be in the hunt in these games. You
know, the issue is they can't score more than 17 points, right. They suck offensively. But
now Arthur Smith has completely changed their offensive game plan where they don't even
really throw, throw the ball. They, they ran the ball over their last three games, 60.73% of
the time. That's 7% more than the next closest team. They run the ball and play defense and
they're using Bejon Robinson, which is obviously who would have thought using a great
player would, would lead to better results. But, uh, he's not trying to care about your
fantasy football team, right. So to answer Justin's question, yeah, I think Bijon Robinson
will be, uh, RB one in the NFL, like the best running back in the NFL. Um, possibly, um,
mccaffrey retires. Yeah, mccaffrey is not there anymore then. Yeah, certainly. Um, yeah,
I mean, if the Falcons can play really good defense and run the football effectively, they
can be, get scrappy in games that against teams that are much better, so young who still
their, their kicker. Yeah. And he's a good kicker. He has right now. The best career field
goal percentage in the NFL, he surpassed Justin Tucker because Justin Tucker's missed a
couple of recently. He has like a 90% field goal make. Yeah, but has got to be pretty close
though too because Buter was second and he's been perfect this season. Come on now,
let me look it up. Don't go spread misinformation. Not on this show. Pal number
one, young way K 90.12%. Number two, Justin Tucker, 89.93%. Number
three, Harrison Buter 89.42 I knew it was close. Uh So there you go. Young way. Ku as of
right now, the only kicker in NFL history to have a percent of over 90%. Was he with the
Chargers for a little bit? He started with Chargers and he stunk and they released him
after like three weeks. Yeah. Yeah, I, I always find it funny when teams do that because
you, you know, you know, they're just sitting there going. Damn. I wish we had young way back.
The Panthers are sitting there going. Damn. I wish we would have kept Harris and Butter.
There is a trend. Um I think I read an article or just a tweet about it at the start of the
year, but there is a trend of like rookie kickers always being terrible with their first
team getting released and then becoming good with the second team they signed with. It's
like a trend that's like go gone on for the past 20 years. Young Weu is an example. Arison
Bucker is an example. Uh you can find a, you know, a decent amount of guys who that works
for. So shout out to the Charters. Thank you for releasing young Weik. Um Also, by the way,
I was just watching young Weu the guys got swag, he just like walks like around the field,
like during warm ups and on the sideline during the game, the guys, the kids got swag.
Um All right. Uh let's uh preview. We're a little bit behind schedule. So let's rip
through these preview week. Uh, 14 games. Thursday night football. Is this the worst game
of the year? Patriots and Steelers. No, that was the Falcons versus Jets and you attended it.
But, uh but wow, yeah, this is gonna be a brutal game. Uh Yeah, obviously, no, Kenny
Pickett Mitchy for the Steelers, who knows for the Patriots, it doesn't matter. Mac Jones and
Bailey Zappy are the exact same quarterback. There's no difference between the two. It is
the lowest total of the year. So if you're just talking about points, then yes, it's
projected to be the worst game of the season. The over under is set at 30 that seems like
it's gonna be a struggle to get to. I like it seems like it is gonna be an Iowa football game.
This is Iowa versus Louisville. Uh, so I have no thoughts. I'm gonna take the points of the
Patriots because I guess I'll take six points because it's, it's not gonna be a good game. Uh,
Rams against Ravens, a sneaky good game here. Ra, uh, Rams have won three straight games
since coming off their biweekly in the hunt here for an NFC playoff spot at six and six.
Ravens coming off their bi week, uh, in the hunt for, uh, the number one seed in the AFC
tied with the Dolphins right now, based on tiebreakers, Dolphins would hold the number one
seed. Uh, the two teams play a little bit later in the season, but the Ravens certainly
in the mix 7.5 point favorites at home to the Rams. That seems like too many points. I like
the Ravens in this game. Big, big fan of the Ravens overall. I think they're a great team,
but the Rams are a little sneaky. Um, when you have that many weapons, that many
weapons, it, it makes it hard because you're never out of a game. Um, I like to point this
one, iii I wouldn't, I think that's the way I'd go if I, if I was betting this game, I'm
give me the, uh, the 7.5 points here. Uh, I'm laying the points of the Ravens not super
confident though. I know the Rams look good against the Browns defense last week, but I
think they match up a little bit more stylishly against the Ravens defense, uh, who
allow the fewest yards per pass attempt in the NFL. So I'm gonna lay the points of the Ravens
but not a super confident play for me. Uh, Colts Bengals, all of a sudden became an
intriguing match up here. Now, two teams battling for a playoff spot, a wild card spot
in the AFC. The Colts sitting at seven and five. Bengals just outside the playoffs at six
and six. The Colts were 2.5 point favorites before last night. And then after Jake Brown
Browning's uh strong performance, the line has now moved down a point and a half. Bengal is
now just one point underdog at home to the Colts when the Colts play wild shit happens.
Block puns running into the kicker like just just nut stuff. They don't play normal games.
Uh I, I like watching the Colts play because every game is entertaining. Uh Gardner Mens is
an absolute joy to watch and I do think Jake Browning is um solid again. I,
you know, I know it's a small sample size but there was nothing that showed me that that was
uh unrealistic, right? There was nothing that showed me that. No, he's more like Tim Boyle
than he is uh a legit backup quarterback. Um I'm excited for this game. Iii I
don't know how, I bet this game, but I, I, I'm excited to at least watch this game. Uh, I'm
gonna take the Colts, uh, Bengals defense is still one of the worst in the NFL and I just, I
just can't, unless they're gonna be big time underdogs. I can't just bank on another good
Jake Browning performance and bet on the Bengals their defense stinks. Uh, so I'm gonna
take the Colts, uh, Bills against Chiefs and intriguing matchup Chiefs 2.5 point favorites
at home coming off a loss to the Packers Bills coming off their biweekly, really afford to
lose this game if they want to make the playoffs. Uh Do the Chiefs bounce back to the
Bills win? What do you think this is a tough one? Uh, Bills have to have this for the
playoff life while the Chiefs need to win to have any shot real realistically at the one
seed, right? So there's a lot to play for, for both teams. Uh The Bills have been pretty good
against Kansas City, especially in the regular season, obviously, right? The playoffs have
been a little different story but the regular season, the Bills have been pretty good even at
Arrowhead, but the 2.5 points give me the Chiefs, right? That's less than a field goal. I
think the Chiefs can win by a field goal. Um I like Kansas City to cover, um
I, yeah, I, I wish I couldn't. I wish I didn't have to bet on this game. I'm gonna take the
Bills and the 2.5 points. Not confident though , but I'm just committed to the Bills. Uh, I've
lost betting on them a lot this season. I'm committed to them. I think they're better than
the record offensively. Their metrics are better than the Chiefs offensive metrics in a
lot of key areas, not by a ton, but by a little bit. But then there is the Chiefs have a
big defensive advantage but Bill is coming off the bi week. I don't know, I don't love the
under the under is the one that I feel. All right. Uh, and then Sunday
night football, big one Eagles, Cowboys, everyone should know where I'm going at for,
for this one. Cowboys. I lay the points of them minus 3.5 at home. They deserve to beat
the Eagles last time they played, they played them in just about every single metric. Uh
Eagles needed about five things to go their way to not lose that game and all five of them
did. Um, I don't think that's gonna be the case now with the Cowboys returning home and as
we talked about earlier, the Eagles defense stinks. I like the Eagles with the points. That
hook is the one I like, I like it, baby. That's a win 3.5. Cowboys win by three. That's
still a win for the Eagles. And by the way, can you name the, the good teams, uh, the
Cowboys have beat this season. Um, the Seahawks. No, no, no, I said good teams.
Uh, that's the best team that they beat this. Uh, that was my point. Yeah, but it's not like
they played a ton of good teams either. They played two good teams. The 49er and, and the,
and the Eagles and got destroyed by the 49ers and the Eagles. Yeah, they lost, but come on,
they, they were the better team in that game. Ok. Uh, a lot here. Uh,
huge total in this game. If anyone wants to, uh, watch some points being scored, tune into
Sunday night football because total is 53 uh, rough week for our picks last week. Sterling
after, uh, you had, uh, a stretch there of your red hot. Uh, unfortunately, no wins last
week. You went 02 and one. you pushed on the Chargers minus six. I bet that game early in
the week and this will never happen to me, uh, as a sports bet again for the rest of my life,
I bet the, uh, on the Patriots when the line was 6.5. So I won my Patriots bet without them
scoring a single point. I won Patriots plus 6.5. That's absurd. I, I will never happen
again. How do I lose with the Patriots scoring zero points? Like that is just absurd.
You did push. So it's not technically a loss. It is a push. It will go on your record as a
push. Um, but still, if you, if you hold your opponent to zero points, you would hope that
they're able to cover the spread. Uh, yeah, I, I agree. It probably wouldn't feel like a loss.
Um, and then, uh, I lost or sorry, my one win of the week I went one and two. My one win of
the week was, uh, 49er to cover against the Eagles. That was easy. Uh We both lost our
total bets. I took, uh, the over between the Cardinals and the Steelers. I'll blame that one
on Kenny Pickett getting hurt. Uh, and you lost. Uh, and I was on this bet myself, the
under between the Rams and the Browns. I was shocked that wasn't even close to going under
that one way over. Um Rams moved the ball all day against the Browns defense. That was
shocking. Uh Neither of us had an upset pick. Uh, I continue to be the worst underdog better
in NFL history right now. Um I thought I said Arizona over, uh Steelers but I
did it not on this show. It was on a different one and I'm so bummed because I was like, let's
go. I called it and then I looked at the show sheet and I go, you idiot Sterling. You even
put on this show uh, you were very close to, um, hitting the Broncos. He took
Broncos over Texans very close. They had a chance. Uh, Russell Wilson threw pick six there
right at the end. Um, hold on, Trevor Lawrence news.
Um, Jaguars coach Doug Peterson says quarterback, this is breaking quarterback,
Trevor Lawrence has just a high ankle sprain all other tests coming back clean. Peterson
wouldn't put a timetable on Lawrence's recovery but didn't rule a moat for this week
and not season ending. Um, that's huge news this week is wild for, I, I know he's a
quarterback but a high ankle sprain still. That's crazy. I mean, I would say he
misses this week but still, I mean, the fact that it's not season ending and they'll have
him back for the playoffs at least is massive because it looked like the jaguar season was
over last night. Also, what happened to Walker a little, the left tackle went out on the same
play and we never heard word like, did he just feel so bad that he's like, I'm, I'm, I'm
pulling myself fellas like I was crazy to see because they did not talk about it again on the
broadcast. Yeah, I'm trying to look this up right now, hamster string injury, but no, uh no
more details about that monitoring his status ahead of week 14. Um The other thing I actually
wanted to bring up about that game and I tweeted about it last night Sterling. I don't
know if you were actually watching the game last night or not. But, uh, the play before the
water boy came out on the field for the Jaguars, um, thinking that they had called a
time out, they had not called the time out. So the Jaguars were forced to call a time out. And
then the very next play, Trevor Lawrence gets hurt if that water boy doesn't run on the field
and they force the jaguars to call the time out. Trevor Lawrence doesn't bust up his ankle
and this season is completely different now, it looks like he's gonna be back. But that
water boy must felt like an all time idiot last night. Oh, that sucks. What a, what a
twist of fate. Yeah, that, uh poor guy. I feel bad for the dude. Yeah.
Um All right back to our picks here. Yeah, we both lost upset. I took Saints over Lions. You
took Broncos over Texans. Both of them had a game winning drive, potential game winning
drive. Neither of them could convert. Um, so picks for this week starting with our best
spread bet. I'm gonna take a massive underdog this week. Sterling. Uh, and it's gonna be one
of the two Monday night football games. I'm gonna take the Titans plus 14 getting two
touchdowns against the Miami Dolphins mainly because, uh the Titans
and this kind of relates to what I was talking about with the Falcons earlier. Very good in
the red zone. Falcons are first, red zone defense. Titans are second, uh they're also
15th, so not bad in third down defense, but for a team to cover a two touchdown spread, you
got to be able to convert red zone trips uh to touchdowns instead of field goal. So I actually
think the story of this game is gonna be the Dolphins red zone offense because they have the
best red zone offense in the NFL and they're going up against the second, best red zone
defense in the Titans did the Dolphins win the game. Yes. Can they cover two touchdowns?
That's a lot against a very well coached Thetis team. I'll take the points of Tennessee
hate it. Uh II, I think the, the Dolphins roll , it's going to be a rough one to cheer for,
that's for sure. And it might be, it might be over immediately. It's going to be one of those
backdoor coverage right down 21 and all of a sudden you see will love us. Just throw, throw
a touch down late in the game and all of a sudden it's, oh, yeah. Look at it. They covered.
Yeah. Well, that's the point that, that, that's the, the, the glory of it. You can, you
can be down 20 score garbage time touchdown. Next thing you know, you covered early in the
season, I took Panthers plus 14 against the Dolphins and the Panthers were up 14 nothing.
And I was like, there's no way this bet loses and then the Dolphins came back and won like 42
to 17 or something like covered wasn't even close. Um, could happen again. I've already
talked about this one, so Eagles plus 3.5 versus Dallas. I think the half point is why,
uh, the main reason why I'm taking it, I think the Eagles are still a really good team. I
think Dallas has not played, uh, well outside of against the Eagles, uh, against any sort of
decent team in the NFL. Um, I mean, again, they, they should have lost the Seahawks too
and the Seahawks, I think are just an average team. Um, they don't play well against good
teams. So give me the points. All right, fair enough, uh, total bet. I'm gonna go with my
favorite over bet. Over 43. The under has hit a ton for both of these teams, but I think
we've seen over bet, uh, an over cash here because both defenses are some of the worst
defense in the NFL by almost every metric 28 and 31st in opponent yards per play 26th and
30th in opponent EPA, per play 29th and 30th in opponents success rate, 20th and 29th in
opponent points per game. Uh, any game involving these two bad defenses don't deserve
having a total in the low forties. I'll take the over, uh, I'm going over with the Colts and
the Bengals over 40 a half, Jake Browning season in full effect. But it's not necessarily
just that it's the fact that the Colts, their defense somehow, I, I don't understand their
defense, like, at times I think they're decent , but yet they're still giving up like 25 a game
offensively, you're like, I don't think they're great but yet they're still scoring 25
a game. They just play in these sort of weird games. So give me the over in a weird game with
the Bengals and their backup quarterback and Gardner Minch, the backup quarterback for the
Colts. Yeah. II, I do like that one, upset pick of the week. Uh I think the Buccaneers
beat my Falcons because it would just be very Falcons of them to win two straight games, take
sole possession of first place in the NFC South and then lose the Bucks at home. Uh, if
the Bucks win, if they beat the Falcons and the Saints beat the Panthers, we have a three
way tie top the NFC South at six and seven. It's gonna be ugly. Um My main concern is AJ
Terrell. Uh, he left the game this past week, didn't return, I believe is with a concussion.
If he can't go, the Falcons secondary depth is gonna be an issue and now they have to take on
Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Uh, so no, AJ Terrell against Mike Evans and Chris Godwin is
an issue and also the Buccaneers have a good run defense. The Falcons have committed to the
run. If they can't move the ball on the ground against this team, they're going to struggle to
score points if they have to rely on the arm of Desmond Ritter. So I will take the
Buccaneers to beat my Falcons. Yeah, I actually love that one right there. Um And
Rashad White's been getting way more involved for the Buccaneers, uh obviously a very good
pass catcher, but he's starting to break open a little more in the running game as well. Uh I
like the Raiders over the Vikings. I am a little, I'm a little surprised the Vi the
Vikings are favored um on the road by three points. Um I like the Raiders at home. Their
fight for the playoff. Lives are playing hard for Antonio Pierce. They're not the most
talented team by any means, but they do have some weapons. Um I, I'll just take the Raiders
at home. I like it all right. Interesting. Don't hate that one at all. Uh So now, uh we'll
wrap up the show as always. Um I hope that we get to stop doing this segment soon because
once again, I'm gonna be broke. If you keep winning, uh your Survivor pool, you are still
somehow all the way to week 14. Um I wish you would join like an actual, like big money
Survivor pool like you would be down to like the last few. Um You have chosen the teams you
cannot choose this week include. And this has turned into a very long list. The commanders,
the Bills, the Dolphins, the 49er, the Lions, the Rams, the Seahawks, the Chargers, the
Saints, the cowboys, the Jaguars, the chiefs, the Buccaneers, and that's it. Um Buccaneers
gave you a little bit of a scare this past week. They sure did. I was not confident in
that game, but uh there were not a lot of games to choose from last week. Uh I still have
the Bengals to use, but I'm not using them now with no, no, Joe Burrow, I still have the
Ravens to use, but I, I'm deciding on them still have the Eagles to use, but the Eagles
have had such a brutal stretch. I haven't used them yet. I think I'm going with Houston. I
think I'm gonna go with Houston, Houston against the Jets. Um, doesn't
probably a good pick because the Jets offense is the worst in the NFL. Yeah. And so I, I, you
know, the Rams and the Ravens, I could take the Ravens there, but the Rams scare me more
than the Jets do, right. Uh I think the Ravens are a much better team than Houston, but the
Jets can't score. You scored 13 points. I think you win that game. I think CJ Strat that
often scores at least 13 points. So I will, uh , I'll roll with Houston. All right. Um, I think
that's completely fair. Uh, I think that's a good pick the Jets. Uh, kept the Falcons to 13
points and still didn't cover the spread or even come close to beating them. So, yeah, I
mean, the Texans might just need to, like, score 10 points. They're gonna be the Jets
there. You have it. That's our show. Final thoughts. I, I feel a little bad like it's
Christmas time and you're not having to not give presents to your significant others, your
parents you're giving it to me. Yeah.
Well, actually, I mean to be fair, maybe I might not have to buy this gift until after
Christmas because I think the last week of the season is in January. So there you go. I maybe
I'll the Christmas money I get from my family will then be used towards buying you a gift.
Yeah, you're gonna have to have some stipulations where, well, you gotta get it all
the way to the Super Bowl now too. I get it. Um All right. Uh That is our show. Thank
you, everyone for watching. Uh Be sure to subscribe to the stack in the box youtube
channel like this video. Uh go sign up for Sleeper Daily Fantasy. Uh You get a new uh new
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Follow me on Twitter at Ian Mac bets. Iain Mac bets follow Sterling at, at Homestretch KC. Um
Good luck if you decide to play some bets this weekend, uh, and regardless, enjoy the games,
we'll talk to you next week for week 15 of the NFL season.