WEBVTT 00:00:00.340 --> 00:00:04.459 All right. Welcome in everybody. It is the Brew Report for Wednesday, April 15th. Happy 00:00:04.459 --> 00:00:10.460 Tax Day. It is a mailbag edition of the Brew Report. As always, you can get more answers to 00:00:10.460 --> 00:00:14.778 more of your questions and more detailed answers at the MMQB.com. But as always, we're 00:00:14.778 --> 00:00:19.530 gonna answer three of your questions right here, right. Now. And the first question comes 00:00:19.530 --> 00:00:25.190 from KC Chiefs junkie, that's at KC Chiefs Junkie on X. Thoughts on Kansas City standing 00:00:25.190 --> 00:00:31.829 pat at 9, but making a big move up from 29 and 40, targeting someone in the teens, try to land 00:00:31.829 --> 00:00:36.868 two instant impact players with their first two picks. Uh, Chiefs junkie, I would not 00:00:36.868 --> 00:00:43.529 totally rule it out. I would just say based on where they are. And based on where 00:00:43.529 --> 00:00:49.289 they are going forward, I think the more likely scenario would actually be a trade down 00:00:49.289 --> 00:00:55.048 and an attempt to continue to accumulate picks . And here's the reason why. Where they are from 00:00:55.048 --> 00:01:01.929 a cap standpoint, and where they are going to be from a cap standpoint going forward is 00:01:02.310 --> 00:01:07.750 a place where they're gonna need to continue to fill holes with affordable talent. And the 00:01:07.750 --> 00:01:13.069 way you accumulate affordable talent is by accumulating picks. In other words, if you have 00:01:13.069 --> 00:01:17.189 7 picks, you may hope to get 3 starters. If you have 12 picks, maybe there's a chance you 00:01:17.189 --> 00:01:21.588 get 5 stars. Now, all of that obviously is relative to where those picks are. But you're 00:01:21.588 --> 00:01:26.269 really looking to build up the guts of your roster because you know that you're not gonna 00:01:26.269 --> 00:01:31.260 be able to spend on a 3rd receiver, the way some other teams might. You know, you're not 00:01:31.260 --> 00:01:36.028 gonna be able to spend on a nickel pass rusher , the way some other teams might be able to. You 00:01:36.028 --> 00:01:39.829 know, you're probably not gonna be able to spend on your 2nd safety, the way, the way 00:01:39.829 --> 00:01:43.879 another team might be able to. And so, to illustrate that, I wrote down some of the The 00:01:43.879 --> 00:01:50.849 Top cap numbers for the Chiefs for this year. And Chris Jones is at $44.8 million Patrick 00:01:50.849 --> 00:01:57.730 Mahomes at $39.7 million Trey Smith at 24.5 million, Nick Bolton at 19.25%, Jalen 00:01:57.730 --> 00:02:04.650 Moore at $18.685 million Creed Humphrey at 18.1%, George Kar Loftus at 15.15%. You 00:02:04.650 --> 00:02:08.349 have other guys that have lower cap number. Numbers, Kenneth Walker, Travis Kelsey, where 00:02:08.349 --> 00:02:12.868 that money is pushed off into the future. This is the reality of where the Chiefs are and 00:02:12.868 --> 00:02:17.199 where they've been for quite some time. And if you remember 4 years ago when they traded 00:02:17.199 --> 00:02:21.229 Tyreek Hill, they went on, they, they were in the middle of a little bit of a heater from a 00:02:21.229 --> 00:02:26.270 draft perspective, which allowed them to keep other players on their roster. And so they had 00:02:26.270 --> 00:02:31.960 guys like Trey Smith, like Nick Bolton. Um, like Creed Humphrey, like George Car Loftus, 00:02:32.360 --> 00:02:38.379 like Trent McDuffie, who they just traded on their, on their roster on rookie contracts. And 00:02:38.379 --> 00:02:43.189 essentially what they're looking to do now is reset in that sort of way. And so now, you know, 00:02:43.399 --> 00:02:46.639 instead of those guys on rookie contracts, you've got a number of those guys who are on 00:02:46.639 --> 00:02:51.538 big second contracts. So you're looking to backfill. That's the whole building model. That, 00:02:51.629 --> 00:02:57.088 that Andy Reid and Brett Veach have set up. And so, it's important that you get those picks 00:02:57.088 --> 00:03:01.330 right, and it may be more important that you accumulate good players than get one great 00:03:01.330 --> 00:03:04.360 player. Now, of course, they're looking for somebody who can be a real difference maker for 00:03:04.360 --> 00:03:08.849 them at 9 because they're not gonna be drafted in the top 10 very, very often with Patrick 00:03:08.849 --> 00:03:14.649 Mahomes as their quarterback. So, that pick there is very, very important. But with 29, 00:03:14.860 --> 00:03:19.778 with 40, with picks later on, you're looking to accumulate talent, you're looking for 00:03:19.778 --> 00:03:24.460 starters, you're looking for guys who can fill roles for you that are important roles, but you 00:03:24.460 --> 00:03:29.149 can't afford to spend on because of the situation that you're in with how top-heavy 00:03:29.149 --> 00:03:33.179 your cap is. It's just the situation that they're in. It's the situation they're gonna 00:03:33.179 --> 00:03:36.939 continue to be in as long as Patrick Mahomes is their quarterback. This is how you have to 00:03:36.939 --> 00:03:42.939 build. And so I see the Chiefs. It's probably more likely to trade down with some of the 00:03:42.939 --> 00:03:46.460 picks that they have than trade up. Um, doesn't mean they couldn't make a short trade 00:03:46.460 --> 00:03:51.139 up to go and get somebody. Um, they, of course , did that a couple of years ago and trading up 00:03:51.139 --> 00:03:55.618 to get Xavier Worthy, so I certainly could see those sorts of moves from Brett Veach. But as 00:03:55.618 --> 00:04:01.689 far as like, just Compromising the number of picks that they have to make some massive swing. 00:04:01.729 --> 00:04:06.439 I think they probably won't do something like that. Question number 2 from Eric Klein, uh, 00:04:06.490 --> 00:04:12.800 PhDS at Doctor Eric Klein, uh, frequent contributor to the mailbag. He asks for keeping 00:04:12.800 --> 00:04:17.548 needy teams like the Cardinals or Jets, if they like Ty Simpson. Is the 5th-year option 00:04:18.048 --> 00:04:23.410 worth trading back into the end of the 1st round for or is early 2nd round the better 00:04:23.410 --> 00:04:30.069 value? Um, Eric, I would say, in the case of both those teams, I would actually sit tight 00:04:30.069 --> 00:04:35.970 and take them in the 2nd round. Um, if that's the way you look at it. Here's the reason why. 00:04:36.910 --> 00:04:41.939 I think with your ownership, taking a quarterback in the 1st round, basically takes 00:04:41.939 --> 00:04:47.670 you off the market for a quarterback the next year and going forward. And we've actually seen 00:04:47.670 --> 00:04:51.709 teams in the past take quarterbacks in the 2nd round and then turn around and take one in the 00:04:51.709 --> 00:04:58.613 1st round the next year. A great example of it , um, was about 1516 years ago in 2010, 00:04:58.733 --> 00:05:04.975 the Panthers took Jimmy Clawson, um, right there at the top of the 2nd round, and then 00:05:04.975 --> 00:05:09.134 came back the next year and took Cam Newton first overall. Take a quarterback in the 2nd or 00:05:09.134 --> 00:05:14.754 3rd round, that's a swing. And so you could come back the next year and take a quarterback 00:05:14.754 --> 00:05:18.600 the next year. If you take a quarterback in the 2nd round here, if you're the Cardinals or 00:05:18.600 --> 00:05:24.358 you're the Jets, then I don't think there's anything stopping you from going back into what 00:05:24.358 --> 00:05:29.759 should be a quarterback-rich draft next year and taking your guy in the top 10 or 15 picks 00:05:29.759 --> 00:05:34.720 if you aren't sold on what you see from Simpson as a rookie. And so that's the way I 00:05:34.720 --> 00:05:38.629 would look at it as if I was the Cardinals or Jets. That's also colored by what I've heard 00:05:38.629 --> 00:05:44.160 from teams. This Ty Simpson thing, I'm sort of on Ty Simpson where I was with Shadoor Sanders 00:05:44.160 --> 00:05:47.209 last year where a lot of people were talking about Shado Sanders like he was a first-round 00:05:47.209 --> 00:05:52.649 pick. And I remember saying like, I just can't find teams that view Shado as a first-round 00:05:52.649 --> 00:05:57.290 pick. I sort of feel the same way as on Ty Simpson. A lot of teams think he's a good 00:05:57.290 --> 00:06:01.209 player. He's got good tape. Um, there's no question about that. You see more things that 00:06:01.209 --> 00:06:05.970 translate to the NFL from Ty Simpson on tape than you see from Fernando Mendoza. The 00:06:05.970 --> 00:06:10.428 question is the physical traits. Um, the question is the amount of experience that he 00:06:10.428 --> 00:06:15.230 has. He only started 15 games at Alabama, and so I think the likelihood is he goes somewhere 00:06:15.230 --> 00:06:20.108 on day two, and like, if that's the case, if he winds up being there in the 2nd round, and 00:06:20.108 --> 00:06:24.910 you're a team picking somewhere, you know, in the top half of the 2nd round, you could take a 00:06:24.910 --> 00:06:29.428 swing on him, see if it works out, and if it doesn't, you go right back into the draft next 00:06:29.428 --> 00:06:33.309 year, and you're looking at a class that's gonna have names like Dante Moore, Arch Manning, 00:06:33.428 --> 00:06:38.738 Julian Say, Lenori Sellers, all those guys in it. Uh, question number 3, this is from Damon 00:06:38.738 --> 00:06:42.819 Martin, that's at Damon Martin. We all know the Bengals are never gonna trade up, so is the 00:06:42.819 --> 00:06:46.738 number 10 pick basically just the best defensive player available. Caleb Downs remains 00:06:46.738 --> 00:06:52.738 a dream pick, but it's hard to gauge what the team is thinking. Um, Damon, I would agree. Um, 00:06:52.819 --> 00:06:58.559 there's one caveat, if Jeremiah Love somehow falls to them, maybe you have a hard time 00:06:58.699 --> 00:07:02.928 passing on Jeremiah Love. I don't think he's gonna fall that far, so I think the point is 00:07:02.928 --> 00:07:08.238 moot on that, but Um, yeah, that would be the one caveat is if there's some sort of outlier 00:07:08.238 --> 00:07:12.199 that makes it to them, maybe they think about it, but I'm with you. Um, you know, I think 00:07:12.199 --> 00:07:15.670 that Caleb Downs would be somebody they would look at. I think they would look at both the 00:07:15.670 --> 00:07:22.160 corners too. Um, the top two corners, um, you know, Mansour Delane from LSU and Jamad McCoy 00:07:22.160 --> 00:07:25.798 from Tennessee. McCoy, there's still some concern on his knee. Um, so that's gonna be 00:07:25.798 --> 00:07:30.129 more of a factor for some teams than others and maybe makes them fall a little bit. Um, but 00:07:30.129 --> 00:07:34.608 I think McCoy and Delane would be, um, guys that they would look at at 10. I think Ruben 00:07:34.608 --> 00:07:38.178 Bains is a guy that they would look at 10. I think Caleb Downs is a guy they would look at 00:07:38.189 --> 00:07:43.129 at 10. I think they need defensive help. And so my guess would be that they do what you're 00:07:43.129 --> 00:07:47.119 saying they're probably gonna do is just take a defensive player they're 10 and 10 overall, 00:07:47.488 --> 00:07:51.750 presuming that there's not some sort of outlier that falls to them. When they are 00:07:51.750 --> 00:07:54.588 picking. Appreciate you guys coming out as always. You can give more questions to me here 00:07:54.588 --> 00:07:58.750 on the YouTube page down below. You can also get our feed, get your feedback over to us on 00:07:58.750 --> 00:08:03.139 my social media at Albert Breer on Twitter, at Albert R Breer on Facebook, at Albert_Breer on 00:08:03.139 --> 00:08:06.579 Instagram. We got one more Breer report coming for you this week. That'll be on Friday. 00:08:06.750 --> 00:08:08.548 Appreciate you guys coming out. We'll see you guys then.